We got our Keeneland meet off to a great start with our recommended opening day selections resulting in a profit of +18.5 units for our Subscribers! Although the Saturday card features the highest quality racing of the entire meet- including 5 Grades Stakes and 3 Grade Ones, we had a difficult time finding horses that represented any great value on the card. We want to be diligent with our opening day profits and continue to be selection oriented and demand value. We’ll fire when the time is right. With that being said, we still managed to find a couple interesting spots to get tied into, but we’ll be dialing back the unit sizes to properly express the strength of our handicapping opinions. Good Luck today and see y’all back on Sunday!
p.s. if you wouldn’t mind sharing our publication with a couple of your friends that would be much appreciated!
Race Two #7 Gallivant- We don’t typically recommend a lot of first time starters, but found this 2YO colt to be pretty interesting. Ben Colebrook trained the dam for this ownership group years ago and she won her debut at Keeneland and went on to win the G3 Beaumont at Keeneland before retiring as a broodmare for LNJ Foxwoods. The dam has already thrown a nice winner on debut who went on to achieve blacktype in the G2 Remsen and we really like the ownership group giving the training duties to Colebrook here (who they haven’t used since he trained the dam). He’s a Lexington local with a small barn and he’ll be extremely focused on preparing this horse to perform well on debut. He simply doesn’t get a lot of horses like this and when he has- he’s had a lot of success with them, specifically at Keeneland. Finally, he got his meet off to a rock solid start yesterday so we like the short term form of the barn as well. Watch for some tote signal, but we think this horse will be cranked and ready to roll today!
Betting Structure:
1 unit to Win
1 unit to Place
Race Six #8 Khaadem- We think there’s enough speed signed on in the G2 Woodford today to set the table for this classy old European closer. When digging through his European form it becomes clear that he doesn’t relish soft ground. He’s shipped across the pond twice to run at Kentucky Downs and both times has been hopelessly compromised by slow paces. We think its a very astute more for connections to run him back in this spot. As we’ve previously alluded to, Kentucky Downs provides a great foundation for Keeneland turf racing and we believe his ability figures are the best in this field. We make him the favorite in what figures to be a murky tote board. He’ll be running on firm ground so he just needs to get enough pace to close into which we think he finally might get today.
Betting Structure:
1 unit to Win
2 units to Place
“In bocca al lupo.”