Wyndham Championship: Final Answers

Rainman Maroochi's feet are held to the fire..

🏆 Your Winner: Hideki Matsuyama (33-1)

I absolutely love this spot for Hideki. The driver has been the one weak link in his game this year, and Sedgefield gives him plenty of chances to club down — a major win for his profile. Everything else has been strong. Most notably, in what feels almost un-Hideki-like, the putter has been great. He’s gained strokes putting in 9 of his last 10 starts. That’s a scary combination when paired with his iron play and touch around the greens. Don’t be surprised if he wins this week.

A-tier:

Lucas Glover (40-1) – His driving accuracy and iron play make him a great course fit. Of course, he's a past champion here, but what stands out more is how he’s continued to show solid form even on tracks that didn’t suit him perfectly. I think he's trending toward a serious run.

Si Woo Kim (35-1) – I just couldn’t ignore the iron form—it’s been lights out. I don’t care that he missed the cut at the 3M. Historically, South Koreans have fared well here, and if he can just be neutral with the putter, he could absolutely contend.

Christiaan Bezuidenhout (50-1) – Maybe my favorite play down the board. His profile—driving accuracy, solid irons, short game, and putting—aligns with what has historically worked here. There’s no need to overpower this place, which suits him well. I like him anywhere from 90-1 down to 50-1.

Nico Echavarría (90-1) – He’s been sniffing around a breakthrough and feels due for a moment. This could be the place where he finally puts four rounds together.

Ryo Hisatsune (120-1) – The young Japanese talent grabbed a T3 here last year in his first appearance, and followed it up with a T4 at Innisbrook. There’s a trend developing, and I think this type of layout suits him nicely.

B-tier:

Michael Kim (100-1) – A well-rounded player who had a solid run of form earlier in the year. He caught my eye. If he finds a spark again, I think he could play his way into the mix.

Andrew Novak (70-1) – Another guy who flashed early-season form, especially with a strong showing at Harbour Town. He should feel at home in this part of the country, and the former Wofford Terrier fits nicely here.

Davis Thompson (70-1) – He’s improved here each time he’s teed it up, and I expect this to be a track he plays well at for years to come. The form isn't ideal, but the number is fair.

Byeong Hun An (110-1) – The putter’s been a disaster, no way around it. But the ball-striking has been terrific, and he has great history here. If he can somehow find a warm week with the flatstick, he’s got upside.

Kevin Roy (110-1) – Looked to be figuring things out at the John Deere and Rocket Mortgage. He consistently gains in driving accuracy, which gives him a puncher’s chance here. I’m not putting too much stock into his 3M or Barracuda finishes—very different setups.

Suggested Plays:

Hideki Matsuyama (33-1): Risking 0.6 units to win approximately 20 units

Lucas Glover (40-1): Risking 0.25 units to win approximately 10 units

Si Woo Kim (35-1): Risking 0.3 units to win approximately 10 units

Christiaan Bezuidenhout (50-1): Risking 0.2 units to win approximately 10 units

Nico Echavarría (90-1): Risking 0.11 units to win approximately 10 units

Ryo Hisatsune (120-1): Risking 0.08 units to win approximately 10 units

Michael Kim (100-1): Risking 0.05 units to win approximately 5 units

Andrew Novak (70-1) : Risking 0.07 units to win approximately 5 units

Davis Thompson (70-1) : Risking 0.07 units to win approximately 5 units

Byeong Hun An (110-1) : Risking 0.05 units to win approximately 5 units

Kevin Roy (110-1) : Risking 0.05 units to win approximately 5 units

Total Risk Budget = 1.7 units