“You don't have to swing hard to hit a home run. If you got the timing, it'll go.”
-Yogi Berra
1. Seattle Mariners (+110) @ Los Angeles Angels (O/U 9.5)
The Angels have provided value all season long and our models predicts them to continue to do so in this spot with our true moneyline coming in closer to -190 and true run-line coming in at -1.5 (+105) both provide significant value. Moreover, we have a favorable spot adjustment with them returning home hungry for a win.
Selection: Angels ML (-120) to win 1 unit and Angels RL -1.5 (+155) to win 1 unit
2. San Diego Padres (+120) @ St. Louis Cardinals (O/U 8.5)
Look for a quality outing from Yu Darvish in the spot to help shade towards the under with our model projecting a true total of approximately 7.25 this looks like a solid EV play.
Selection: Under 8.5 (-120) to win 2 units
2025 YTD: 91-73-3
55% Win Rate, +14.9% ROI