“People talk about having fun. What I think is enjoyable is playing the game right and trying to kick someone’s ass. That’s what I think is fun.” -Terry ‘Tito’ Francona
1. Los Angeles Dodgers (-165) @ Cincinatti Reds (O/U 9.5)
Our model is showing nice value on the Reds again tonight with their ML fairly priced closer to +120. The Reds bullpen couldn’t seal the deal last night blowing a 4-2 lead. The Reds are the only team in baseball not to have been swept this year, look for that to provide a chip on their shoulder. Ohtani’s pitch count has been conservatively-managed thus far, look for the Reds offense to be able to produce against a depleted Dodgers bullpen once Ohtani is pulled from the bump after 3-4 innings.
Selection: Reds ML (+145) to win 1 unit
2. Miami Marlins (+125) @ St. Louis Cardinals (O/U 8.5)
Our model is showing nice value on the Marlins tonight indicating a true ML closer to -105. The Marlins have been one of the hotter teams in baseball as of late and we’re looking for that to continue tonight catching nice +money on a game we have closer to pick-em.
Selection: Marlins ML (+125) to win 1 unit