“The frog in the well knows nothing of the sea.”
-Japanese proverb.
1. San Diego Padres (-155) @ San Francisco Giants (O/U 8.0)
Our model is showing good value on the Under in this game projecting a total of approximately 7.5 Runs. Furthermore, we like the bounce back spot on the bump for Pivetta for the Padres after his last outing turned into a disaster versus the Red Sox (which wasn’t a fun night for the Mendoza Boys). Similarly we like the spot for ‘Deng Kaiwei’ who had a nice outing last time out after a shaky season debut. We think he’ll be primed for a nice effort third time out and be able to settle in at home. We envision a quality outing on both sides of the bump that solidifies our projected low total.
Selection: Under 8.0 (-110) to Win 1 unit.
2. Los Angeles Dodgers (-210) @ Los Angeles Angels (O/U 9.5)
Our model is showing good value on the Under in this game projecting a total of approximately 8.75 Runs. We think this is a good spot to fade the string of Overs that have cashed in this series- look for a quality outing from Ohtani going up against his former SoCal team as he is incrementally given more leash with his pitch count.
Selection: Under 9.5 (-115) to Win 1 unit.