“This is baseball- its going to bring you up, its going to bring you down. You just have to find a way to ride that wave.” -Fernando Tatis Jr.
1. San Diego Padres (+140) @ St. Louis Cardinals (O/U 9.5)
Our model is showing very nice value on the Padres here with a projected fair ML price of -115 and frankly they vastly outperformed the Cardinals in the game on Friday despite losing 3-0. Look for the Padres to flip the script in this one at a very generous price.
Selection: Padres ML (+140) to win 2 units
2. Los Angeles Dodgers (+130) @ Boston Red Sox (O/U 8.5)
Our model is showing pretty good value on the Red Sox in this spot indicating a fair ML price of -175 and this is also a nice bounce back spot for the Red Sox after dropping the game on Friday night. Clayton Kershaw is still being over-priced too much for the pitcher that he used to be versus the pitcher that he currently is.
Selection: Red Sox ML (-135) to win 1 unit