on hitting against Sandy Koufax: “Like drinking coffee with a fork.”
-Willie Stargell
Our model is showing a strong edge on the Pirates in this matchup, and this number is simply too high for the way this game sets up.
Baltimore is the better team on paper, but this is not a spot where that edge shows up cleanly. Baz hasn’t demonstrated the ability to consistently separate and frankly is pretty overrated by our pitching metrics.
That should leave the door open for Pittsburgh.
Selection: Pirates ML (-110) risking 1–2 units.
Discipline Trumps Conviction, in bocca al lupo.