Happy Travers week y’all! Excited to dig into these cards.
Race Four #5 Lost in Rome- At first glance this horse looks hopelessly too slow on paper and significantly pace-compromised in this spot; however, we have a variant perception of this race. Let’s start with the race design- we think the presence of the #4 horse in here could inject more pace than initially appears. This horse broke slow last time out in a much tougher spot and didn’t get to show off his speedy early foot; we think he’ll get back to his previously blazing early pace figures on the class drop here. Ricardo Santana is likely to similarly gun the #3 horse because he has had success using aggressive tactics all meet long. Although these horses may not outright ding-dong duel on the front end we believe the pace will at least be honest enough to give our dirtied-up closer a shot to dink up for a big piece of this affair. As for his recent form- we had him caught wide against a gold rail in his race two back and then he was totally pace compromised in his last start. We’ll bet our horse on the nose at what should be a very nice price even in a small field and then use him underneath the #4 who should prove to be the best of speed. Good Luck!
The Play: 2 units to Win and 2 units on 4/5 Exacta.