Race Three - #5 Leading Role: This is an interesting spot for this colt getting back on turf- which we think is his preferred surface given both sides of his pedigree. Bill Morey has fantastic stats with his turf starters at Saratoga sporting a 25% Win Rate and $3.11 ROI! We think he’s showing a lot of intention shipping him up to the Spa for this surface change and we also find him protecting this horse today after back to back starts for a claiming tag a similar sign of confidence. The debut effort on turf wasn’t as bad as it looks given it was his first time out and broke slowly finding himself in the back of the pack behind a dawdling pace. This looks like a classic example of an unexposed horse on paper with significant upside getting on the right surface today and is worth a play at anywhere near the morning-line odds.
The Play: 2 units to Win.