We’re backing the Texans this week, taking advantage of a sneaky good team coming off their bye. Meanwhile, Seattle is riding high after an impressive road win against Jacksonville — a great spot for them, but one we don’t expect to carry over.
Our numbers power-rate this game at Seattle -2, meaning we see real value in grabbing Houston at +3.5. Both teams have comparable health scores, but the Texans own the spot advantage here.
While the public will glance at Houston’s 2–3 record and underestimate them, we still grade the Texans as about two points better than an average team. This isn’t a knock on Seattle — who we also view as a quality team — but given the numbers and the situation, we’re more than happy to take the points with Houston.
Selection: Texans +3.5 (-115) against Caesars bookmakers to Win 2 units.
“In bocca al lupo.”
That's going to be a good game. I'm shocked that the Steelers lost tonight.