We’ve got one early spot this week that we believe offers real value.
We rate the Steelers as a half point worse than an average team, while the Browns sit 4.5 points below average. With a 1.8-point home field advantage for Pittsburgh, that gives us a 5.8-point edge in favor of the Steelers.
The Browns fought hard in London but ultimately came up short against Minnesota. Even in a close game, the stat sheet showed the Vikings with a comfortable edge. For us, this is a downgrade spot for Cleveland given the intercontinental travel.
On the other side, the Steelers are no better than an average team, but they’re coming in off the bye week with both rest and travel advantages in their favor. That edge matters.
We’re comfortable making our number Steelers -6.75, which means grabbing Steelers -5 is an early value play.
Good luck this week!
Selection: Steelers -5.0 (-110) to Win 2 units.