1. Indianapolis Colts (+3.5) vs. Los Angeles Rams (O/U 49.5)
We made this game Rams -2.5 and cannot get to -3 let alone give ‘em the hook with their weak home field. Admittedly the Colts aren’t an impressive 3-0 football team and that is factored into our power ratings only having them as 0.75 points better than an average team. By contrast, the Rams played a great game last week against the defending Super Bowl champs and we believe the public is overvaluing that performance. This is a classic example of fading the ‘eyeball test’ and trusting our numbers. Blue Horseshoe Loves the Colts +3.5.
Selection: Colts +3.5 (-105 against DraftKings bookmakers) to Win 2 units.
2. New Jersey Jettisons (+3.0) vs. Miami Dolphins (O/U 45.0)
We made this game Dolphins -2 and can’t get to the key number of 3 so despite how ugly of a Monday Night Football matchup this may be, it actually provides a pretty good betting opportunity. Embrace the shit-show, take the +3 with the Jets and be on the lookout for another Aaron Glenn sideline jigger.
Selection: Jets +3 (-115 widely available) to Win 1 unit.
Like the movie references. “Wall Street” of course with the title. Among my top 5 movies, “The Sting” in the publication profile photo. Waiting on some full-on Jimmy the Greek action.