1. Buffalo Bills (-7.0) vs. New Jersey Jettisons (O/U 45.5)
Our proprietary NFL Power Ratings make this game Bills -5.5 after adjusting for the spot and we think the early steam in the market on the Jets is sharp. We upgraded the Jets in our power rankings following their impressive performance, albeit in defeat, against the Steelers on Sunday. Look for them to be fully focused at home with the perennial division leader coming into East Rutherford. On the other hand, the Bills are coming off of an emotional come from behind victory against the Ravens on Sunday night that might provide a good short-term sell high spot.
Selection: Jets +7.0 (-110) to Win 1 unit.
2. New England Patriots (+1.5) vs. Miami Dolphins (O/U 44.5)
We made this game Dolphins -3 after adjusting for the spot so we have to go to the windows here with both fists despite how much of a dumpster fire they looked like in their blowout loss to the Colts. We view the embarrassing Week 1 loss and rumored locker room issues as good narratives to fade here. The public loves overreacting to both and the fact is the Dolphins are now extra motivated coming back home to an advantageous home field given the weather conditions, where the Dolphins sideline will enjoy the shade as the Patriots will be baking in ‘feels like’ temps of approximately 95 degrees.
Selection: Dolphins -1.5 (-110) to Win 2 units.