Well football season is finally in full swing y’all! With
providing the NCAAF analysis, I’ll be handling the NFL handicapping in conjunction with working diligently in the background on our proprietary NFL Power Ratings. To recap my previous Week 1 Early Selections, we are already locked into Chargers +3.5 (-115) and Ravens ML (+100).So y’all know what to expect on a weekly basis- we will typically have an early release on Monday where we can take advantage of soft opening lines that haven’t been sharpened out yet by the market movers. As individual bettors, this is our distinct advantage as the sophisticated betting syndicates cannot attack the low limits that are imposed early in the betting cycle. The majority of our plays will come from these early releases- so be on the lookout! We will have an additional later release(s) which will vary from Thursday to as late as Sunday morning- so make sure you are subscribed to receive emails and push notifications when they are released.
Good luck this football season. Remember to size your bets properly and always stay within your limits- earn the right to bet more. Now let’s have some fun and cash some tickets. Without further ado, here’s our late release plays for Week 1:
1. Pittsburgh Steelers (-3.0) vs. New Jersey Jettisons (O/U 38.5)
After adjusting our power ratings for the spot, we made this game approximately Steelers -2. Although 1 point in an NFL game might not sound like a lot, even with a juiced 3, there is a really nice edge on this bet. We believe the public is clamoring to a perceived “Rodgers Revenge” factor and that is providing us a great opportunity to fade this narrative and catch the key number of 3, especially in a projected low-scoring affair, even if we have to lay a little extra juice. Hold your nose here, fade the washed-up gunslinger and take the points with these New Jersey Jettisons.
Selection: Jets +3.0 (-120) to Win 2 units.