Well we had a great opening weekend of Keeneland resulting in a profit of +17.5 units! We’re headed into Week 2 with a flush bankroll and in a nice handicapping rhythm. We’re going to remain diligent with our profits and continue to be selection oriented and demand value. We’ll size up when the time is right. Lexington received a torrential downpour on Tuesday which scratches this card off the turf, but we’ve still identified one spot to get tied into- Good Luck y’all!
p.s. if you wouldn’t mind sharing our publication with a friend or two, that would be greatly appreciated!
Race Five #5 Trident Hit- This hard knocking 8YO looks to provide pretty good value in this spot. On paper this race shapes up to have a lot of speed which should be able to set it up for the horse we view to be the best closer in this field. Before the last start this horse had been in rock solid form putting together a string of efforts that would be very competitive at this level. We’re drawing a line through the last race as this horse just didn’t class up to that salty field at the Spa and we don’t think he wanted the added distance either. Ron Moquett is a hard boot horseman who we have a lot of respect for and we think he’s spotting this horse appropriately this late in his career. Finally, we found a nice trainer angle that fits this situation- over the last 5 years when dropping in class for a claiming tag in dirt routes Moquett sports a 22% Win Rate with 49% In The Money and good for a $2 ROI of $3.54! Look for Keeneland staple Tyler Gaffalione to tuck in and save ground around the clubhouse turn before running down the tiring speed horses late to get a big piece of this affair.
Betting Structure:
2 units to Win.
2 units to Place.
“In bocca al lupo.”