Race Four #7 Baytown Bruiser - This is a pretty wide open race on paper with several directions for the public to go including the #11 horse who we think will be a big underlay. We believe that the #7 Baytown Bruiser is the most likely winner and will also provide nice value in this spot. We have this 4YO gelding pairing up 80 ability figures in his last two starts and think he will appreciate the slight cutback in distance here. We trust Luis Saez to give him an aggressive ride and he should be able to display the right finishing ability at this distance. He goes out for totally under the radar connections and that should ensure a decent price at the windows.
Betting Structure:
2 units on 7/12 Double
1 units on 7/9,10 Double
Race Five #12 Confront - This is an interesting turf sprint and we think the #12 Confront will be tough to handle in here if he can work out a trip from the outside post under Irad Ortiz. The form of his last race at Kentucky Downs has been solidified as several of the runners have come back to run well next time out including the winner. We think this 5.5 furlong trip is ideal and like that he has shown the ability to rate before. The two interesting price shots we identified to go with this horse in the exacta are the #9 Brie’s in Town- who exits the same common race and the #10 Our Starry Night- who goes out for Phil Bauer and Luis Saez who should have him forwardly placed, his effort two back at Saratoga makes him dangerous here.
Betting Structure:
2 units on 12 with 9,10 Exacta Key Box
“In bocca al lupo.”