Well our hot start to this Keeneland meet continues as we added another 4 units of profit yesterday to bring our total up to +22.5 units! We’re going to remain diligent with our profits and continue to be selection oriented and demand value. We’ll size up when the time is right. We’ve identified a couple spots on this Sunday card to get tied into. Hope y’all have enjoyed your weekend & Good Luck today! Our daily Keeneland analysis will be back on Wednesday!
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Race Eight #2 Bobrovsky- This is an interesting edition of the Indian Summer featuring a highly-touted Wesley Ward runner in Schwarzenegger who should be an underlay in the win pool. We like the #2 Bobrovsky in this spot who goes out for Dale Romans. This horse was very impressive last time out at Saratoga chasing a scorching hot pace and still having enough finishing ability in reserve to put away that rival and hold off the closers. We have that effort as the top ability figure in the field and think the versatility shown being able to successfully rate may prove the difference in here today.
Betting Structure:
2 units to Win and 1 unit on 2/9 Exacta.
Race Ten #7 Awesome Connection- We think this is a wide open race and didn’t particularly like the chalk who’s taken advantage of making the lead in a couple slow paced races- he’s all dressed up. We started looking at some of the longer prices and found the #7 Awesome Connection to be pretty interesting. He’s paired up a couple 70 ability figures on our numbers which is a figure pattern that we look to precede a forward move, which could be a pretty big step forward for a 2YO routing for the second time in his young career. Furthermore, when we started digging into the trainer stats we uncovered a gem- Christopher Davis over the last 2 years at Keeneland is winning at an astounding 24% rate with 48% in the money which is good for a $2 ROI of $5.53! He’s vastly outperforming his baseline at Keeneland and its apparent he’s gearing up his horses to run their best races at this boutique meet and the market hasn’t caught onto it! So even if this horse can’t get it done for us today we’ll be keeping a close eye on his runners going forward.
Betting Structure:
1 unit to Win
1 unit to Place
“In bocca al lupo.”