“It is not best that we should all think alike; it is difference of opinion that makes horse races.”
-Mark Twain
Race Three #6 Chunk of Gold - This fantastic $2,500 purchase (/lottery ticket) has banked over 3/4 of a milly in his illustrious 3YO campaign and this is a nice spot to add to his ROI as he attempts to check off his N2X condition and the distance and trip should be perfect.
*Note: if he takes care of his business look to upgrade the #3 horse in R8.
Race Six #6 A Fine Chardonnay - This horse ran a very professional race on debut and we have that effort as the top ability figure in this field, but what makes this horse especially intriguing is Ian Wilkes is a conditioner you can almost always count on to race his runners into fitness. They’re hardly ever cranked on debut which is evident in not only his trainer stats but also the price this filly was on the tote board. Henceforth you can project improvement, oftentimes A LOT of improvement, from first to second start; and if we already have this horse’s last effort as the top ability figure in the field then with routine improvement this horse becomes a very likely winner- especially when juxtaposed with the other trainers in here who have their horses ready to produce a top performance on debut. Finally, the outside draw with Tyler Gaffalione is perfect for a stalk and pounce type trip.
Race Seven #3 Princess Attitude - It’s extremely doubtful that the CAWs will let this horse go off anywhere near the listed 8-1 morning line, but if they do there will be a Brinks truck backed up at the clubhouse entrance at Keeneland. This horse fits well on figures and form and should more than appreciate the class drop. Moreover, when Vicky Oliver gives the call to Johnny V’s agent for a mount at Keeneland you can bet your bottom dollar that she’s got a Live runner and the trainer stats more than flesh this out- they’re good for a spectacular 27% Win Rate and a $2 ROI of Over $9!
“In bocca al lupo.”
Love how detailed your race breakdowns are especially the insights on conditioning and improvement cycles. Makes following these picks not just exciting but educational too 🔥