“That’s the remarkable thing about baseball. The game has a way of having you scratch your head one minute and drive you crazy, and then the next, you’re entertained beyond your wildest hopes. That’s why it’s the best game.”
-Johnny Bench
1. Cincinnati Reds (+140) @ Milwaukee Brewers (O/U 7.5)
Our model is showing a decent edge on the Red Stockings in this interesting NL Central matchup. There is a stark motivational contrast as the Reds need this game like blood trying to keep their Wildcard hopes alive. On the other hand, the Brewers don’t have much to play for as they’ve already already locked up the division and might be more focused on making sure their bullpen is in prime shape heading into the post-season. Although Brewers starting pitcher Quinn Priester sports a gaudy 13-2 record as a starter this season, his advanced metrics aren’t that impressive. Meanwhile, Zach ‘The Lisp’ Littell has been serviceable for Cincinnati and we think he’ll be able to keep them in this game. The Reds offense has been uninspiring as of late, but they’ve shown the ability all season long to be able to play up to their competition. Look for Tito Francona to make the appropriate moves with the lineup card to remedy the offensive issues and the rock steady Reds bullpen to keep them in this game late as the Brewers might be resting their best relief arms. Take the generous +money on the motivated dawg.
Selection: Reds ML (+140) to Win 1 unit.
